Butker's walk-off OT field goal still leaves Colts +6.5 a winner at Arrowhead

Took 6.5 and needed about half of it. Patrick Mahomes threw for 382 yards and three touchdowns, so the short-week letdown I sold never showed up. Indianapolis hung around anyway: up 20-17 at the half, then Jonathan Taylor's second touchdown tied it at 27 in the fourth. Harrison Butker's 40-yarder won it for Kansas City on the final play of overtime, and a Laquon Treadwell fumble in the extra period was overturned on review. Lost by three, covered by 3.5. Right side, wrong reason, and the dog got a little lucky.

Mahomes looked like himself Monday, which is exactly why the public will pile on. The odd signal is that Indianapolis has 75% of the moneyline handle on only 9% of moneyline tickets, and the spread hasn't gone through seven despite Chiefs money. Kansas City is on a short week after an emotional divisional win.