1
Buffalo Bills
1-0
beat Houston 36-31 in Houston
Promoted to first on the method's own logic. Buffalo beat the best opponent anyone beat — Houston produced 381 yards, 26 first downs and 31 points the same afternoon — and did it on the road. They ran 52 plays for 409 yards, 7.9 per snap and the best rate in the league, never turned it over, and recovered two Houston fumbles. Allen was 20 of 29 for 334 with two touchdown passes, a 130.5 rating, and two rushing scores. They trailed 31-30 with 6:49 left and won it on a 34-yard touchdown with 1:41 to play. The short possession total is a function of how quickly they scored, not of an offense going three-and-out. The open question is a defense that surrendered 7.9 a play.