Minnesota takes over first place as the league's only unbeaten team at 6-0, with the fewest points allowed in the league at 74, after San Francisco lost 20-29 at Atlanta with four turnovers and fell to second. New England is the week's biggest faller, down seven to thirteenth after losing 24-30 in Chicago and dropping out of the two-loss tier. Tampa Bay is the biggest riser, up six to 23rd on a 43-13 win at Carolina, the largest margin of the week, and Cincinnati is up five to tenth after scoring 35 straight points in a 35-13 win at Baltimore. Kansas City falls to fourth after being held to three points and 213 yards at Seattle, where the reigning champion produced the best single result of its season and still sits fourteenth at 4-3. Road teams went 8-5 in the thirteen games played at a home stadium. Buffalo, Jacksonville, the Chargers and Washington were on bye.
Method
Results only. The inputs are the final score, the margin, where the game was played, the box score underneath it, and the strength of the teams actually beaten, measured by what those teams have done in their other games. Nothing from the offseason, no projection of what a roster is supposed to be, no injury forecasts, no treating turnovers or fumble luck as something a team will not repeat, no coaching-change arguments, and no discounting a result because it looks unsustainable.
Record is the first cut, measured by win percentage so that byes and the Week 5 tie are handled consistently. Minnesota at 6-0 ranks above the 6-1 49ers, those above the two teams at 5-1, those above the four at 5-2, those above the three at 4-2, then the 4-2-1 Giants, the four at 4-3, the 3-3 Panthers, the four at 3-4, the seven at 2-5, the 1-4-1 Commanders, Miami at 1-5, Tennessee at 1-6 and the winless Chargers. Ties in resume are broken by quality of wins, then point differential.
Time of possession is context, not evidence. A short possession total next to a high yards-per-play figure means an offense scored quickly and is not held against it. It counts against a team when it comes from three-and-outs, turnovers or a defense that cannot get off the field. Houston ran 237 total yards on 3 of 12 third downs at home and lost in overtime, and Kansas City managed 213 yards on 3 of 11 while Seattle converted 11 of 16, and both of those are the bad kind.
Two placements bend the stated tiebreak, and both are flagged here rather than buried. Chicago goes ahead of Cleveland in the 5-2 group even though Cleveland's beaten opponents are 15-19 against Chicago's 14-20, because that is a one-game gap in a 34-game aggregate while the differential gap is 50 points, plus 37 against minus 13. Cincinnati goes ahead of Detroit in the 4-2 group on the same logic, a .024 gap on quality of wins against a 22-point differential edge and a 22-point road win at Baltimore. Last week's edition applied the strict reading where the beaten-opponent gap was large; it is not large in either of these.
Everything else follows the stated order. Denver goes ahead of Pittsburgh on beaten opponents, 13-20 to 13-21, a .522 slate against .458, and the best loss quality in the league, with both defeats coming on the road at the 5-1 Chiefs and the 6-1 49ers. New Orleans holds the top of the 2-5 group on the single strongest set of wins in the league, 8-5-1, both of them road wins over teams now above .500, against a minus 32 differential. Arizona stays ahead of Philadelphia because 3-10 beats 2-10-1 even with a worse differential.
Seven weeks in, opponent strength rests on six or seven other games per opponent, which is firm enough to use and still thin enough to move a placement a few spots either way. It is what holds the Giants at twelfth at 4-2-1, because their opponents are a combined 14-33-1, the weakest slate in the league, and what keeps New England thirteenth rather than lower, because its slate at 28-19 is the toughest of any team with a winning record. Miami's 26-13 slate is the hardest anyone has played.
The house rule gives the reigning Super Bowl champion first place until its results say otherwise. Seattle's Week 3 loss at Washington broke that rule and it has not been restored. This week came closest: a 20-3 win over a Kansas City team that arrived 5-0, holding it to 213 yards and no touchdown, which is exactly the convincing result the rule would reward. But the rule governs holding first place, not winning it back, and Seattle at 4-3 with three losses has to earn the top spot on the body of work. It is fourteenth, up three.
MVP watch
Five players ranked on production adjusted for efficiency and mistakes, the defenses they faced, how much of the team's offense runs through them, and how much help they have around them. Interceptions, sacks taken and fumbles count against, and team record counts only a little. Every position is eligible, with quarterbacks weighted heavier because they touch every snap. Seven weeks in, with three of these five having played only six games, the sample is thin enough that this order moves more now than it will in December.
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1
Brock Purdy
QB · San Francisco 49ers (6-1) · Last week 1=
146 of 211, 1,748 yards, 15 TD, 4 INT, 8.3 yards per attempt, 69.2 percent; 7 sacks taken, 161 rushing yards
Purdy holds first on the heaviest criterion. His 15 touchdown passes trail only Kirk Cousins' 16, his 8.3 yards per attempt is tied for the best of any passer with 200 or more attempts, and seven sacks taken ties Patrick Mahomes for the fewest among starters. San Francisco is 6-1 with the league's best differential at plus 58. The case against first is this week: two interceptions and two of the 49ers' four turnovers in a 20-29 loss at Atlanta, and beaten opponents at 16-23-1.
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2
Jared Goff
QB · Detroit Lions (4-2) · Last week 4▲2
150 of 223, 1,788 yards, 14 TD, 0 INT, 8.0 yards per attempt, 67.3 percent; 12 sacks taken
Goff moves up two for a 22 of 32, 303-yard, two-touchdown game in a 20-17 win over Green Bay. Zero interceptions on 223 attempts is the cleanest line in the league, and the closest thing to it is C.J. Stroud's one on 247. Fourteen touchdowns at 8.0 yards per attempt is real production. What keeps him from first is share of output, with Jahmyr Gibbs at 620 rushing yards and seven scores, and beaten opponents at 10-18.
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3
Josh Allen
QB · Buffalo Bills (5-1) · Last week 2▼1
114 of 171, 1,504 yards, 9 TD, 4 INT, 8.8 yards per attempt, 66.7 percent; 240 rushing yards, 8 rushing TD
Allen slips one without playing, because Buffalo was on bye while Jared Goff threw for 303 and two scores. The case for him is unchanged and strong: 8.8 yards per attempt is the best in the league, he has 17 total touchdowns in six games, and his eight rushing scores tie Jonathan Taylor for the league lead. He is Buffalo's goal-line offense. What holds him third is nine passing touchdowns against four interceptions on only 171 attempts.
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4
Joe Burrow
QB · Cincinnati Bengals (4-2)
157 of 219, 1,653 yards, 15 TD, 3 INT, 7.6 yards per attempt, 71.7 percent; 10 sacks taken
Burrow is new to the list after going 22 of 30 for 292 and four touchdowns to four different receivers in a 35-13 win at Baltimore, where Cincinnati scored 35 straight after trailing 13-0. His 71.7 percent completion rate is the best of any passer with 200 or more attempts, and 15 touchdowns against three interceptions in six games is the efficiency this watch rewards. The case against a higher spot is 7.6 yards per attempt and beaten opponents at 9-18.
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5
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
WR · Seattle Seahawks (4-3) · Last week 5=
58 catches on 78 targets, 867 yards, 8 TD, 14.9 yards per catch
Smith-Njigba holds fifth, and the position adjustment is what keeps him from climbing, since this watch weights quarterbacks heavier because they touch every snap. On his own merits he is clearly exceptional, leading the league in receiving yards by 216 over CeeDee Lamb and in receiving touchdowns with eight. Against Kansas City he caught nine for 150 and a score in a 20-3 win. The case against higher: Seattle is 4-3 and Sam Darnold has thrown eight interceptions.
Also considered: Trevor Lawrence (14 touchdown passes on 184 attempts), Kirk Cousins (16 touchdown passes, the league lead), C.J. Stroud (one interception on 247 attempts), Matthew Stafford (1,989 passing yards, most in the league) and Jonathan Taylor (eight rushing touchdowns, tied for the league lead).
Coach of the Year watch
Five head coaches ranked on what has happened on the field in 2026: record against the schedule, with venue and the quality of the teams beaten weighed the same way as the rankings above, then improvement on each team's actual 2025 record and point differential, which is the only baseline here from outside this season. Turnover margin, second-half scoring, fourth-down decisions and a unit that has clearly improved on its 2025 numbers all count. Preseason expectations, win totals, odds and reputation do not. This is the first week of this watch, so every previous rank and change is null, and seven games is a thin sample.
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1
Kevin O'Connell
Minnesota Vikings (6-0) · 9-8 last season
6-0, +51 points; 2025: 9-8, +11; 74 points allowed, fewest in the league by 29
Minnesota is the only unbeaten team in the league and has allowed 74 points in six games, 29 fewer than anyone else. That is the first criterion, results against the schedule, and the defense is the clearest coaching evidence in the box scores: Indianapolis managed 218 yards in a 16-10 loss and Chicago got 3 points in a 9-3 game in Chicago. Improvement is real too, from 9-8 and plus 11 to 6-0 and plus 51. The case against first is the slate, with beaten opponents at 16-25.
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2
Andy Reid
Kansas City Chiefs (5-1) · 6-11 last season
5-1, +40 points; 2025: 6-11, +34; win percentage up .480, the largest jump in the league
Reid has the largest improvement in winning percentage in the league, from .353 to .833, which is what the second criterion rewards most: a losing team turned into a winning one. Kansas City is plus 40 and beat Denver, now 5-2, by 31-10. The case against first is twofold. The 2025 Chiefs already had a plus 34 differential at 6-11, so part of this is a correction rather than a change, and Kansas City just lost 3-20 at Seattle without reaching the end zone.
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3
Zac Taylor
Cincinnati Bengals (4-2) · 6-11 last season
4-2, +41 points; 2025: 6-11, -78; differential up 11.4 points per game, the largest swing in the league
Cincinnati's point differential has swung from minus 4.6 per game in 2025 to plus 6.8 this season, the largest improvement of any team in the league, and the record has gone from 6-11 to 4-2. The 35-13 win at Baltimore, where the Bengals scored 35 straight after trailing 13-0, is the kind of in-game adjustment the fourth criterion looks for. What keeps him third is quality of wins: Cincinnati's beaten opponents are a combined 9-18, the weakest among these five.
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4
Todd Monken
Cleveland Browns (5-2) · 5-12 last season
5-2, -13 points; 2025: 5-12, -100; first year with the team; all five wins by four points or fewer
Monken took a 5-12 team that was minus 100 and has it at 5-2, with winning percentage up from .294 to .714 in his first year in Cleveland. Home wins over Pittsburgh and Baltimore, both now above .500, give him the best beaten-opponent record of these five at 15-19. The case against a higher spot is the margin: minus 13 is the worst differential of any team in the league with a winning record, and all five wins came by four points or fewer, 16 points in total.
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5
John Harbaugh
New York Giants (4-2-1) · 4-13 last season
4-2-1, +2 points; 2025: 4-13, -58; first year with the team; win percentage up .408
Harbaugh has taken a 4-13 team that was minus 58 to 4-2-1 and plus 2, the second-largest jump in winning percentage in the league behind Reid's. The 27-21 overtime win at Houston, where the Giants outgained the Texans 420 to 237 and never turned it over, is the best of it. The case against a higher spot is the schedule, and it is a serious one: New York's opponents are a combined 14-33-1, the weakest slate in the league, and its beaten opponents are 8-20.
Also considered: Ben Johnson (Chicago at 5-2 and plus 37, up from plus 26 in 2025), Mike McCarthy (Pittsburgh 5-2 in his first year with the team, both losses on the road), Klint Kubiak (Las Vegas 3-4 after a 3-14 season with a minus 191 differential) and Aaron Glenn (the Jets' differential improved from minus 203 to minus 13 despite a 2-5 record).