Tyler Shough's fourth-down sneak wins it outright for Saints +8.5

Took the points and got the win on top. Baltimore led at the half before New Orleans came all the way back. Travis Etienne's two-point conversion tied it at 17, then Tyler Shough scored on fourth-and-goal from the one with 1:28 left. Lamar Jackson threw an interception in scoring position to end it. My case was a depleted Baltimore receiving corps and a Saints team that doesn't quit, and both held up. Eight and a half in hand, won outright, cover by 15.5.

New Orleans nearly came back from 21-0 down to beat Detroit, so this team doesn't quit. Baltimore's receiving corps is banged up: Zay Flowers is questionable with a hamstring and rookie Ja'Kobi Lane fractured his wrist. Laying more than a touchdown with a depleted receiver room is too much.