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Picks against the spread

Week 2 picks · Mea culpa

Prescott's four TDs and Lamb's 153 yards bury Commanders +3.5 in Dallas

Mea culpa

The pitch was a thin Dallas secondary, and Malik Hooker and DeMarvion Overshown did sit. It didn't matter, because the passing damage went the other way. Dak Prescott threw for 279 yards and four touchdowns, passing Tony Romo for the franchise record, and CeeDee Lamb caught eight for 153 and two scores. Jayden Daniels dislocated his left elbow at the Dallas 1 with three seconds left in the half, down 17-10. That hurt, but Dallas won the second half 20-10 against a team that ran for 182 yards. Lost by 17. Missed by 13.5.

loss Cowboys 37, Commanders 20

The pick: Commanders +3.5 at Cowboys · conviction play #5

The case before kickoff

Get the hook. Dallas lost to the Giants and is thin in the secondary, with safety Malik Hooker likely out with a forearm injury and linebacker DeMarvion Overshown questionable. The spread has moved toward Washington even though 73% of the money is on Dallas, which tells me the book is comfortable holding Commanders tickets. Washington played Philly to two points on the road.

Reporting: AP via NBC Washington · FOX Sports box score · DallasCowboys.com · Commanders.com

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