Harold Fannin's second TD with 1:48 left cashes Browns +2.5 outright

Cleveland trailed 18-13 with four minutes left and won it 21-18 on a Deshaun Watson throw to Harold Fannin Jr. on third-and-10 with 1:48 to go, then a two-point conversion to Denzel Boston. Fannin scored both Cleveland touchdowns. Carolina, which had scored 30 or more in each of its first two games, managed four Ryan Fitzgerald field goals, one touchdown and a failed two-point try. Ronnie Hickman intercepted Bryce Young to end it. Won by three outright, 5.5 past the number, and yes, it took a third-down touchdown to get there.

I have to say this plainly: I faded Carolina last week at +2.5 and watched them win 34-3, so I'm running the same play against the same team seven days later and you should weigh that accordingly. What keeps me here is the number. Carolina has 79% of both tickets and money and the line has come down from -3 to -2.5 anyway, which is a book that won't go through the key number no matter how one-sided the action gets. Cleveland won 23-19 in Tampa with Deshaun Watson throwing for 238 and two scores, which is the least embarrassing thing he's done in a while, and they're home. Carolina is without Jonathon Brooks and their defense has now been both the worst and the best unit in football inside of two weeks.