James Cook's 154 yards sink Chargers +7 despite five Bills turnovers

Buffalo fumbled twice, threw two interceptions and lost the ball on the game's first play, and still won 24-16. That's the whole indictment. James Cook ran 24 times for 154 yards, Josh Allen punched in two more short touchdown runs, and C.J. Gardner-Johnson picked off Justin Herbert in the end zone with the Chargers up 13-10. My case was that seven points is a big slice of a 50.5 total. The total was right, 40 points went under it, and Los Angeles still scored one touchdown and lost by eight. Missed by a point against the number.

The number opened at 7 and hasn't moved despite 74% of the tickets landing on Buffalo, which is the same shape that made Tennessee playable last week. Money is running behind tickets on the Bills, 61% against 74%, which means the bigger bets aren't there. None of that makes the Chargers good: they've now lost back-to-back home games by the identical score of 26-14 to teams that missed the playoffs, and they've lost both tight ends with David Njoku and Charlie Kolar going to injured reserve. Buffalo is 2-0 and Josh Allen scored five touchdowns in the stadium opener, though DJ Moore's AC joint is questionable. A 50.5 total makes seven points a smaller slice than it looks.