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Picks against the spread

Week 3 picks · Mea culpa

Myles Price's 86-yard punt return TD sinks Buccaneers +1.5 in Tampa

Mea culpa

I called this a small lean and it deserved to be smaller. Tampa Bay was within a point at 17-16 with nine minutes left, so the ticket was alive, and then Will Reichard hit from 56 at 3:10 and from 43 to close it at 23-16. Minnesota sacked Baker Mayfield six times and he dislocated his thumb on the last drive. Myles Price returned a punt 86 yards for a touchdown. I said Tampa either wakes up or gets buried, and the penalties got worse, 8 for 81. Lost by 5.5.

loss Vikings 23, Buccaneers 16

The pick: Buccaneers +1.5 vs Vikings

The case before kickoff

Minnesota opened -2.5 and has come down to -1.5 while tickets sit 66% on the Vikings and money only 53%, so the bigger bets are drifting to Tampa. Kyler Murray cleared concussion protocol and starts, which should help an offense that scored nine points in Chicago, though Carson Wentz managed that game fine and Jordan Mason is on injured reserve. Minnesota's defense is the real thing right now, holding the Bears to 4.2 yards a play with Dallas Turner getting two sacks and a walk-off. Tampa Bay is 0-2 with six penalties for 62 yards last week and coaches feeling heat, which is exactly the kind of home team that either wakes up or gets buried. Lean, and a small one.

Reporting: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (official recap) · CBS Sports · Minnesota Vikings (official)

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