Third-stringer Case Keenum accounts for three scores as Bears +4.5 cashes

Chicago 27, Philadelphia 7, which clears +4.5 by 24.5 points. I'll take it and admit the premise was wrong. My case was that Caleb Williams would play and the market had overpriced his absence. He didn't play, and Case Keenum, the third-stringer, went 24 of 34 for 247 yards with two touchdown passes and ran in a third. Philadelphia managed 248 yards and turned it over three times, Jalen Hurts finishing 16 of 25 for 153. Right side, wrong reason.

Chicago opened as a 1.5-point favorite and is now a 4.5-point underdog, a six-point swing, which is the full price of a starting quarterback. That's the bet: Caleb Williams is questionable rather than out, his tests showed no major injury, and Ben Johnson called the prognosis optimistic. The market has priced him as gone. The reason this is a lean and not a play is the backup situation, because Tyson Bagent is in concussion protocol, and a Bears team starting a third-stringer after scoring three points against Minnesota is unplayable at any number. Philadelphia is 2-0 but has won by 2 and by 4, lost Dallas Goedert to an MCL sprain, is already without Landon Dickerson, and Saquon Barkley is working through a stinger that held him to 4 carries for 9 yards. Wait for Friday.