Jameis Winston's three scores and Banks' pick-six bury Cardinals -2.5

I built this on two games of Jameis Winston without a touchdown. He threw three, for 250 yards on 29 attempts, and Malik Nabers went 6 for 112 with one of them. Arizona's defense took the ball away three times and still lost by 12. Deonte Banks ended it with a 98-yard pick-six on fourth-and-goal as the clock hit zero. Giants 36, Cardinals 24, a 14.5-point miss on a laid 2.5. The read on an offense that can't finish drives was flat wrong.

Since Jaxson Dart went down on the first possession in Week 2, the Giants have scored 6 points against the Rams and 12 against Tennessee, the 12 on four field goals. That's two games of Jameis Winston without a touchdown, and Dart's knee surgery means this is the offense for the rest of the regular season. Arizona comes in without a fantasy-relevant injury. The market has already moved five points since the reopen, so this isn't early, but the move is pricing a real quarterback change rather than a single result, and laying under a field goal against an offense that can't finish drives is still the right side.