Bijan and Brian Robinson's five rushing scores cash Falcons +2.5, 45-24

Three plays in, Bijan Robinson went 59 yards and this one was effectively over. He finished with 19 carries for 145 yards and two scores, Brian Robinson Jr. punched in three more, and the 45-24 final cleared +2.5 by 23.5 points. Michael Penix Jr. barely had to work: 15 of 20 for 223 yards. Half the pre-game case landed, that a healthy skill group travels. The other half, New Orleans missing Travis Etienne, didn't matter. Alvin Kamara scored twice. Atlanta just buried a Saints front without Kaden Elliss or Carl Granderson.

New Orleans expects Travis Etienne to miss time with the aggravated hamstring, leaving Alvin Kamara and Kendre Miller to split the backfield, and rookie receiver Jordyn Tyson is still on IR. Atlanta came out of Week 3 without a fantasy-relevant injury and has Michael Penix Jr. back under center. That's a short home favorite missing its lead back against a road dog with its quarterback and its full skill group. The number sits just under 3, which is why this is medium rather than ranked.