Jonathan Taylor's two scores bury Commanders +3.5 in London

The whole case was that Jayden Daniels might play and the market hadn't priced it. He didn't, and Marcus Mariota's right knee gave out in the first quarter, leaving seventh-round rookie Athan Kaliakmanis to make his NFL debut. He went 15 of 33 for 186 yards with a pick, Washington converted 2 of 15 third downs, and Jonathan Taylor ran 20 times for 95 yards and two scores. Colts 30, Commanders 13. The 3.5 points were never in the conversation, losing by 13.5.

Jayden Daniels was a limited participant Wednesday with the dislocated elbow, so there is a real chance he plays, and a +3.5 built around Marcus Mariota doesn't price that in. If Mariota starts, the hook over the key number still matters in a game totaled in the high 40s. The honest counterweight is Washington's list: guard Sam Cosmi (concussion) and safety Nick Cross (illness, didn't travel) are out, and running back Rachaad White (shoulder) didn't practice, which is why the team signed Austin Ekeler. Indianapolis lost Alec Pierce to IR. A lean on the hook and the quarterback upside, nothing more.