Arvell Reese's three sacks wreck Eagles +3.5 in a 19-11 Giants win

Giants 19, Eagles 11, four and a half points past the number. We stayed on Philadelphia for one reason: a Giants front without Brian Burns and Tremaine Edmunds, getting 1.3 sacks a game, would let a raw quarterback throw. New York sacked Joe Milton seven times. Rookie Arvell Reese had three of them plus a strip-sack fumble. That was the pick and it was wrong in the most direct way available. Saquon Barkley's 13 carries for 22 yards didn't help, and Dominic Zvada's four field goals were most of the margin.

Revised Saturday, Nov. 7, before kickoff: Wednesday's pick was Eagles +3.5 at Conviction 3. The side stays, but we've cut it to a lean. Two things changed after we published. Joe Milton replaces Tanner McKee for his first NFL start, three weeks after the Eagles signed him off Dallas's practice squad: a much bigger arm and some mobility, but a 61.5% completion rate in college and very little time in this offense, so the range of outcomes got wider rather than better. And the Giants are starting J.J. McCarthy, not Jameis Winston as we wrote on Wednesday. On the field, Milton is throwing without DeVonta Smith and Dontayvion Wicks, so his top targets are rookie Makai Lemon and Dallas Goedert, and the secondary is now without Jonathan Jones and Michael Carter II, both ruled out on Friday along with linebacker Jihaad Campbell. Saquon Barkley will play through hamstring and back trouble against a run defense allowing 4.8 a carry, and New York is coming off a bye. What keeps us on Philadelphia is the Giants' front: Brian Burns, Chauncey Golston, Roy Robertson-Harris and Tremaine Edmunds are on injured reserve and New York gets 1.3 sacks a game, so a raw quarterback should get time to throw, and Cam Skattebo is doubtful. We now make it Eagles +3. Wednesday's version is kept in the published record.