Raiders,
daily.

Fantasy football

Fantasy football · Week 10

Start 'em, sit 'em: Week 10, 2026

Full-PPR and guillotine calls every week of the season: first calls Wednesday morning, updated each morning through Sunday, and graded against what actually happened.

By ·

Raiders · Waivers · QB · RB · WR · TE · K · DEF · Flex · Guillotine · FAAB

Week 10 turns on a Tuesday trade. Las Vegas sent Kirk Cousins to Minnesota for a third round pick and named Fernando Mendoza the starter, which drops the Raiders to an implied 17 points against the defense allowing the league's best 4.68 net yards an attempt, and leaves the Vikings choosing between a quarterback with three days in the building and a Carson Wentz who went 8 of 25 for 81 yards with two interceptions. Chicago, Denver, Philadelphia and Tampa Bay are on bye. Puka Nacua is doubtful with MCL and PCL sprains plus turf toe, Gardner Minshew is on injured reserve with a suspected torn UCL and Carson Beck takes over an Arizona offense implied for 15, the lowest figure on the board. Rhamondre Stevenson is doubtful and TreVeyon Henderson is out, which hands New England's backfield to Corey Kiner in Munich, and Josh Jacobs had finger surgery that could cost him three weeks. The deadline gutted Indianapolis, which traded Josh Downs to Kansas City and Keenan Allen to San Francisco with Alec Pierce already on injured reserve. The money is at Dallas, where San Francisco is implied for 29.5 in a 55.5 total, and at the Jets, where Buffalo is implied for 29.5 in a 50.5. The approach is to buy target and carry volume that stands up without a touchdown and to sell the four and five target shares in the five games totalling 40.5 or less.

Raiders

  1. Brock Bowers

    TE · LV vs SEA · Sun 4:05 PM ET
    PPRStartGuillotineStart

    Bowers runs 10.0 targets a game with 94.0 receiving yards and took 25 percent of the Raiders' targets in Week 9, and a quarterback making his first start leans harder on the short safety valve, not less. Project nine targets for 6.2 catches and 85 yards, about 14.5 points, clear of both lines with no touchdown.

  2. Fernando Mendoza

    QB · LV vs SEA · Sun 4:05 PM ET
    PPRSitGuillotineSit

    Las Vegas traded Kirk Cousins to Minnesota on Tuesday and named Mendoza the starter, so this is a first career start against the defense allowing the league's best 4.68 net yards an attempt. The Raiders are implied for 17 points, third lowest on the board. Project 25 attempts at 6.0 a throw with one touchdown, about 11 points, clear of both sit lines.

  3. Mike Washington Jr.

    RB · LV vs SEA · Sun 4:05 PM ET
    PPRSitGuillotineSit

    Washington is averaging 3.87 yards a carry on 7.9 attempts with 0.7 targets a game, and Seattle allows 3.44 a rush, the stingiest rate in the league. A quarterback making his first career start does not create running room. Project eight carries for 31 yards, about 3.5 points.

  4. Michael Mayer

    TE · LV vs SEA · Sun 4:05 PM ET
    PPRSitGuillotineSit

    Mayer has taken three, six and three targets the last three weeks behind Bowers, and a rookie quarterback's first start concentrates targets rather than spreading them. Seattle allows the league's best 4.68 net yards an attempt and Las Vegas is implied for 17. Project three targets for 2.2 catches and 23 yards, about 4.5 points.

  5. Jalen Nailor

    WR · LV vs SEA · Sun 4:05 PM ET
    PPRSitGuillotineSit

    Nailor is at 4.0 targets and 2.0 catches for 17.4 yards a game as the third option behind Bowers and Tucker, and Seattle allows the league's best 4.68 net yards an attempt. Las Vegas is implied for 17 points with a rookie under centre. Project 3.7 points.

  6. Tre Tucker

    WR · LV vs SEA · Sun 4:05 PM ET
    PPRSitGuillotineSit

    Tucker is at 6.2 targets and 3.7 catches a game, and the Cousins trade hands him a quarterback making his first career start against the defense allowing the league's best 4.68 net yards an attempt. Las Vegas is implied for 17 points. Project 3.5 catches for 40 yards, about 7.5, on the same usage that cashed this call last week.

Waiver wire

Raiders first, and the honest answer is that no Las Vegas player has earned a bid above a dollar this week. Cody White was signed Thursday and has 2.7 targets a game across seven appearances, and Jack Bech has nine targets in three games. Mendoza's first start is not the week to pay for either.

1. Kaleb Johnson, GB, RB. Start-ready, 18 to 25 percent. Josh Jacobs had surgery on a fractured finger and is expected to miss up to three weeks, and Johnson answered with 14 carries for 68 yards and a touchdown in Week 9. Pierre Strong Jr. took eight carries for 22 yards in the same game and MarShawn Lloyd is working back from a knee injury, so Johnson is the one with the proven snap. Green Bay hosts Minnesota as a 3.5 point favorite.

2. Corey Kiner, NE, RB. Start-ready, 15 to 22 percent. Rhamondre Stevenson is doubtful with a knee tendon injury expected to cost him weeks and TreVeyon Henderson is out indefinitely, which leaves Kiner with the first crack after eight carries for 55 yards and a touchdown at Green Bay. New England is implied for 24.5 in Munich against a Detroit front allowing 4.09 a carry.

3. Audric Estime, NO, RB. Start-ready, 10 to 15 percent. Travis Etienne is on injured reserve and Alvin Kamara is down to 6.7 carries a game, and Estime turned 15 carries into 72 yards and a touchdown in Week 9. Carolina allows 4.62 yards a carry on 28.9 attempts faced, and New Orleans is implied for 25.5 indoors.

4. Zach Charbonnet, SEA, RB. Start-ready, 8 to 14 percent. Sixteen carries in Week 9 after six the week before, with Emanuel Wilson not having played since Week 7. Las Vegas allows 5.00 yards a carry, second worst in the league, and faces 30.2 attempts a game, and Seattle is a 6.5 point favorite.

5. Dylan Sampson, CLE, RB. Flex, 5 to 9 percent. Six, seven and six targets in the last three weeks for a 21 percent share in Week 9, which is 30.2 receiving yards a game on three catches. Quinshon Judkins at 3.32 yards a carry is not locking him out of anything, and the receiving role is the half of the backfield that scores in full PPR.

6. Keenan Allen, SF, WR. Stash, 4 to 8 percent. Traded to San Francisco on Tuesday into a room with Christian Kirk on injured reserve, Brandon Aiyuk out and Mike Evans and Deebo Samuel both questionable. He ran 7.2 targets a game in Indianapolis. One practice with Brock Purdy is the reason this is a stash and not a start.

7. Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, IND, WR. Stash, 2 to 4 percent. Signed off the practice squad Tuesday into a receiver room that has traded Josh Downs and Keenan Allen and lost Alec Pierce to injured reserve. Indianapolis throws 33.8 times a game and the targets have to land somewhere.

8. Jadarian Price, SEA, RB. Stash, 1 to 3 percent. Nine carries and four targets in Week 9, which is the complementary half of the Seattle backfield if Charbonnet is already gone. Thirteen targets in five appearances is the part that travels in PPR.

9. Cody White, LV, WR. Stash, 0 to 1 percent. Signed Thursday into a Raiders receiver room that is Tre Tucker and then an argument. Three touchdowns on 19 targets across seven games is the whole case, and a quarterback making his first career start is not the week it pays off.

Quarterbacks

Start 'em

  1. Joe Burrow

    QB · CIN vs PIT · Sun 8:20 PM ET
    PPRStartGuillotineStart

    Burrow is throwing 37.0 times a game at 8.06 yards an attempt with 23 touchdown passes in eight starts, and his own rushing is negligible at 2.9 carries for 9.6 yards. That line alone projects 24 points with no rushing score, six clear of the PPR line, against a Pittsburgh front that gets home on 8.5 percent of dropbacks. Cincinnati is implied for 26.5 in a 49.5 total.

  2. Brock Purdy

    QB · SF at DAL · Sun 4:25 PM ET
    PPRStartGuillotineStart

    Purdy has 17 touchdown passes in eight games on 29.5 attempts at 8.39 a throw and adds 4.9 carries for 25.1 yards, projecting 22.5 points before any rushing score. San Francisco is implied for 29.5 in the week's biggest total at 55.5, and Dallas concedes a 68 percent red zone touchdown rate. Keenan Allen arrived Tuesday to shore up a thin receiver room.

  3. Drake Maye

    QB · NE at DET · Sun 9:30 AM ET
    PPRStartGuillotineStart

    Maye threw 38 times for 299 yards in Week 9 and averages 8.39 an attempt with 18 touchdowns in nine games, plus 5.2 carries for 24.3 yards. Rhamondre Stevenson is doubtful with a knee tendon injury and TreVeyon Henderson is out, so New England has no backfield to lean on and Maye's attempts should sit near 34, projecting 21.8. The Munich forecast is calm, 46 degrees and 4 mph.

Sit 'em

  1. Fernando Mendoza

    QB · LV vs SEA · Sun 4:05 PM ET
    PPRSitGuillotineSit

    Las Vegas traded Kirk Cousins to Minnesota on Tuesday and named Mendoza the starter, so this is a first career start against the defense allowing the league's best 4.68 net yards an attempt. The Raiders are implied for 17 points, third lowest on the board. Project 25 attempts at 6.0 a throw with one touchdown, about 11 points, clear of both sit lines.

  2. Carson Beck

    QB · ARI vs LAR · Sun 4:05 PM ET
    PPRSitGuillotineSit

    Gardner Minshew is on injured reserve with an elbow injury, leaving Beck in line for his first start with Michael Wilson out for the season and James Conner on injured reserve. Arizona is implied for 15 points, the lowest figure of any team this week. Project 28 attempts at 6.0 a throw for about 11.7 points.

  3. Daniel Jones

    QB · IND vs MIA · Sun 1:00 PM ET
    PPRSitGuillotineSit

    Jones is averaging 5.70 yards an attempt with six touchdown passes in nine games, and Indianapolis has now lost Alec Pierce to injured reserve, traded Josh Downs to Kansas City and traded Keenan Allen to San Francisco. The receiver room is Nick Westbrook-Ikhine off the practice squad and Mecole Hardman. Project 12.1 points in the week's lowest total at 38.5.

Running backs

Start 'em

  1. Jahmyr Gibbs

    RB · DET vs NE · Sun 9:30 AM ET
    PPRStartGuillotineStart

    Gibbs is at 22.1 carries a game at 4.79 a crack plus 5.6 targets and 35.6 receiving yards, and his last three carry counts are 29, 23 and 20, so the role is untouched. That usage projects 18.4 points with no touchdown against a New England defense facing 25.0 carries a game. Detroit is implied for 27 in Munich.

  2. Christian McCaffrey

    RB · SF at DAL · Sun 4:25 PM ET
    PPRStartGuillotineStart

    McCaffrey took 18 carries in Week 9 and runs 5.6 targets a game with 33.8 receiving yards, which projects 17.1 points before a score. Dallas allows 4.99 yards a carry, third worst in the league, and concedes a 68 percent red zone touchdown rate. The 55.5 total is the highest of the week.

  3. Kyren Williams

    RB · LAR at ARI · Sun 4:05 PM ET
    PPRStartGuillotineStart

    Puka Nacua is doubtful with MCL and PCL sprains and turf toe and Davante Adams has been sidelined for weeks, which leaves Williams and his 14.1 carries plus 5.1 targets a game as the offense. The Rams are 9.5 point favorites, which means fourth quarter carries, and Arizona allows 4.19 a rush on 29.1 attempts faced. Project 17 carries and five catches for 17.0 points.

Sit 'em

  1. Aaron Jones Sr.

    RB · MIN at GB · Sun 1:00 PM ET
    PPRSitGuillotineSit

    Jones has carried eight, five and five times in the last three weeks with Jordan Mason splitting the work, down from 14.4 a game on the season. Minnesota is implied for 19 with the quarterback unsettled after the Cousins trade and Kyler Murray's grade two hamstring. Project six carries for 25 yards and two catches, about 5.7 points.

  2. Omarion Hampton

    RB · LAC at BAL · Mon 8:15 PM ET
    PPRSitGuillotineSit

    Hampton is averaging 3.62 yards a carry on 12.8 attempts with 1.6 targets a game, and the role is unchanged from last week when this call cashed. The Chargers are implied for 17 points, the lowest on the board, and Baltimore allows 3.61 a rush. Project 13 carries for 47 yards and 1.4 catches, about 6.9 points.

  3. Ollie Gordon II

    RB · MIA at IND · Sun 1:00 PM ET
    PPRSitGuillotineSit

    Gordon catches 1.0 pass a game so he has no PPR floor, and Miami lost Malik Willis to injured reserve with Kyle McCord taking over this week. The Dolphins are implied for 17.5 in the week's lowest total at 38.5 and score 15.8 a game on a 48 percent red zone touchdown rate. Project 15 carries for 66 yards, about 7.9 points.

Wide receivers

Start 'em

  1. CeeDee Lamb

    WR · DAL vs SF · Sun 4:25 PM ET
    PPRStartGuillotineStart

    Lamb has run target shares of 46, 39 and 47 percent the last three weeks on 12.0 targets a game with 100.4 yards, and Jake Ferguson is out multiple weeks with a knee injury while George Pickens is questionable with a hamstring. That volume projects 17.8 points with no score. The 55.5 total is the highest of the week.

  2. Chris Olave

    WR · NO vs CAR · Sun 1:00 PM ET
    PPRStartGuillotineStart

    Olave drew 12 targets in Week 9 for a 38 percent share and averages 10.4 targets with 91.8 yards a game in an offense throwing 38.5 times a contest. Carolina gets home on only 4.1 percent of dropbacks, the lowest pressure rate in the league, so Tyler Shough has time to work. Project 17.0 points before a touchdown.

  3. Jaxon Smith-Njigba

    WR · SEA at LV · Sun 4:05 PM ET
    PPRStartGuillotineStart

    Smith-Njigba has taken 44, 32 and 36 percent of Seattle's targets the last three weeks on 11.0 a game with 115.1 yards, projecting 19.4 points without a score. Last week's 12.1 came in Seattle rain with gusts to 24 mph and this one is indoors. Ranked third because Drew Lock is questionable with an oblique and the floor drops near 14 if Jalen Milroe starts.

Sit 'em

  1. Jerry Jeudy

    WR · CLE vs HOU · Sun 1:00 PM ET
    PPRSitGuillotineSit

    Jeudy is down to 3.5 targets and 26.0 yards a game with no touchdowns, and the call holds whether Deshaun Watson clears his concussion or Shedeur Sanders starts. Cleveland allows sacks on 11.8 percent of dropbacks, the worst rate in the league, against a Houston front getting home on 9.5 percent. Project 4.8 points.

  2. Jordan Addison

    WR · MIN at GB · Sun 1:00 PM ET
    PPRSitGuillotineSit

    Addison has seen three, eight and three targets the last three weeks at 2.6 catches and 39.6 yards a game, and this call cashed last week with the role unchanged. Minnesota is implied for 19 with the job split between a Cousins who arrived Tuesday and a Wentz who went 8 of 25 for 81 yards with two picks. Project 6.6 points.

  3. Tre Tucker

    WR · LV vs SEA · Sun 4:05 PM ET
    PPRSitGuillotineSit

    Tucker is at 6.2 targets and 3.7 catches a game, and the Cousins trade hands him a quarterback making his first career start against the defense allowing the league's best 4.68 net yards an attempt. Las Vegas is implied for 17 points. Project 3.5 catches for 40 yards, about 7.5, on the same usage that cashed this call last week.

Tight ends

Start 'em

  1. Brock Bowers

    TE · LV vs SEA · Sun 4:05 PM ET
    PPRStartGuillotineStart

    Bowers runs 10.0 targets a game with 94.0 receiving yards and took 25 percent of the Raiders' targets in Week 9, and a quarterback making his first start leans harder on the short safety valve, not less. Project nine targets for 6.2 catches and 85 yards, about 14.5 points, clear of both lines with no touchdown.

  2. Trey McBride

    TE · ARI vs LAR · Sun 4:05 PM ET
    PPRStartGuillotineStart

    Michael Wilson is out for the season with a neck injury, vacating 9.8 targets a game, and James Conner is on injured reserve, which leaves McBride as the only Arizona pass catcher worth covering. He is already at 10.4 targets and 8.1 catches a game. Project nine catches for 75 yards, about 15.0 points, even with Arizona implied for just 15.

Sit 'em

  1. Mark Andrews

    TE · BAL vs LAC · Mon 8:15 PM ET
    PPRSitGuillotineSit

    Andrews has drawn four, four and two targets the last three weeks and scored 5.3, 4.4 and 3.9 points in them, and that was with Jacoby Brissett under centre for one of them rather than a rookie. The role is unchanged from last week when this call cashed. Project 2.5 catches for 20 yards, about 4.5 points.

  2. Michael Mayer

    TE · LV vs SEA · Sun 4:05 PM ET
    PPRSitGuillotineSit

    Mayer has taken three, six and three targets the last three weeks behind Bowers, and a rookie quarterback's first start concentrates targets rather than spreading them. Seattle allows the league's best 4.68 net yards an attempt and Las Vegas is implied for 17. Project three targets for 2.2 catches and 23 yards, about 4.5 points.

Kickers

Start 'em

  1. Ka'imi Fairbairn

    K · HOU at CLE · Sun 1:00 PM ET
    PPRStartGuillotineStart

    Cleveland concedes 33.0 pass attempts a game at 5.60 net yards an attempt but defends the goal line, allowing a touchdown on only 47 percent of red zone trips, which is the stalled drive profile a kicker needs. Fairbairn is at 2.38 attempts a game on 95 percent kicking. Project 2.5 field goals and 2.3 extra points, about 11.0. The forecast is calm at 9 mph.

  2. Spencer Shrader

    K · IND vs MIA · Sun 1:00 PM ET
    PPRStartGuillotineStart

    Indianapolis has traded Josh Downs and Keenan Allen and lost Alec Pierce to injured reserve, so an offense already converting only 58 percent of red zone trips into touchdowns has even less finishing ability, while Miami's league worst 7.36 net yards an attempt lets the Colts move the ball. Shrader is at 2.67 attempts a game on 92 percent kicking. Project 11.2 points.

Sit 'em

  1. Harrison Butker

    K · KC at ATL · Sun 1:00 PM ET
    PPRSitGuillotineSit

    Butker is converting 63 percent of his field goals, the worst rate of any regular starter, and every miss costs a point on top of the three he fails to bank. Project 1.5 made on 2.4 attempts plus 2.75 extra points, about 6.9 points. That is a thinner cushion than a sit normally wants, and the conversion rate rather than the game is why the slot is worth taking.

  2. Joey Slye

    K · TEN vs JAX · Sun 1:00 PM ET
    PPRSitGuillotineSit

    Slye attempts only 1.62 field goals and 1.5 extra points a game, the thinnest volume of any starter this week, and Tennessee is a 10.5 point home underdog implied for 18 points, which means trailing by two scores and chasing touchdowns rather than kicking. Project 6.4 points, a tighter cushion than a sit normally wants, carried by the attempt rate.

Defenses

Start 'em

  1. Packers D/ST

    DEF · GB vs MIN · Sun 1:00 PM ET
    PPRStartGuillotineStart

    Green Bay forces 3.0 takeaways a game, the best rate in the league, against a Minnesota line conceding sacks on 9.3 percent of dropbacks while the Packers get home on 7.4 percent. The call holds either way at quarterback, whether it is a Cousins who arrived Tuesday or a Wentz who went 8 of 25 for 81 yards with two picks. Project 11.0 points; return scores are not forecastable.

  2. Texans D/ST

    DEF · HOU at CLE · Sun 1:00 PM ET
    PPRStartGuillotineStart

    Cleveland has allowed 38 sacks in nine games, an 11.8 percent rate that is the worst in the league, against a Houston front generating 9.5 percent and 3.62 sacks a game, the largest pressure gap on the board. Project 4.2 sacks, 1.6 takeaways and a points allowed tier near four, about 9.7 points, a thinner margin over the PPR line than a start usually wants. Defensive and return touchdowns are not forecastable.

Sit 'em

  1. Cowboys D/ST

    DEF · DAL vs SF · Sun 4:25 PM ET
    PPRSitGuillotineSit

    San Francisco allows sacks on 3.3 percent of dropbacks, the lowest rate in the league at 1.0 a game, and converts 85 percent of red zone trips into touchdowns, the highest. The 49ers are implied for 29.5, which puts Dallas in the minus one points allowed tier. Project one sack and 1.33 takeaways for about 2.7 points.

  2. Cardinals D/ST

    DEF · ARI vs LAR · Sun 4:05 PM ET
    PPRSitGuillotineSit

    Los Angeles has allowed 13 sacks in nine games, a 3.6 percent rate that is second best in the league, so Arizona's 2.0 sacks a game should not travel. The Cardinals force only 1.11 takeaways a game and the Rams are implied for 24.5, a zero points allowed tier. Project 1.4 sacks and 1.11 takeaways, about 3.6 points.

Flex

Running backs, receivers and tight ends for the flex spot, beyond the calls above.

Start 'em

  1. Ja'Marr Chase

    WR · CIN vs PIT · Sun 8:20 PM ET
    PPRStartGuillotineStart

    Chase has drawn seven, 16 and 12 targets the last three weeks, taking 43 percent of Cincinnati's targets in Week 9, and Andrei Iosivas is on injured reserve with a thumb injury. At his three week average of 11.7 targets and a 73 percent catch rate the projection is 18.3 points before a score. Cincinnati is implied for 26.5.

  2. George Kittle

    TE · SF at DAL · Sun 4:25 PM ET
    PPRStartGuillotineStart

    Christian Kirk is on injured reserve, Brandon Aiyuk is out and Mike Evans and Deebo Samuel are both questionable, and Kittle took 30 percent of San Francisco's targets in Week 9. Dallas allows 6.48 net yards an attempt and a 68 percent red zone touchdown rate in the week's biggest total at 55.5. Project eight targets for 5.8 catches and 72 yards, about 13.0, with Keenan Allen's Tuesday arrival the risk to that share.

  3. Travis Kelce

    TE · KC at ATL · Sun 1:00 PM ET
    PPRStartGuillotineStart

    Xavier Worthy is day to day with a hamstring and his 5.9 targets a game are the ones in play, while Kelce already holds a 21 percent share at 6.0 targets and 60.2 yards a game. Project eight targets for 5.5 catches and 80 yards, about 13.5 points. Ranked third because Worthy could be active and Josh Downs arrived in the trade on Tuesday.

Sit 'em

  1. Braelon Allen

    RB · NYJ vs BUF · Sun 1:00 PM ET
    PPRSitGuillotineSit

    Breece Hall took 15 carries in Week 9 and Allen fell to eight after 17 and 21 in the two weeks before, so the split has moved against him. This call cashed last week on the same usage. Project nine carries for 45 yards and two catches, about 7.7 points, with the Jets implied for 21 as 8.5 point underdogs.

  2. Quentin Johnston

    WR · LAC at BAL · Mon 8:15 PM ET
    PPRSitGuillotineSit

    Johnston catches 1.9 passes on 4.3 targets a game for 37.1 yards, and the Chargers are implied for 17 points, the lowest figure on the board, with Justin Herbert managing a finger injury. One 58 yard touchdown in Week 9 is the whole case for starting him. Project 5.6 points.

  3. Keon Coleman

    WR · BUF at NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM ET
    PPRSitGuillotineSit

    Coleman is at 4.1 targets and 2.9 catches a game and has scored 1.4 and 4.7 points in his last two outings, fourth in line behind Khalil Shakir, DJ Moore and Dalton Kincaid. Buffalo's implied 29.5 is the argument for him, but the target count is not there. Project 2.9 catches for 38 yards, about 6.7 points.

Guillotine survival

Survival this week is a bye problem and a quarterback problem. Chicago, Denver, Philadelphia and Tampa Bay are out, which takes Caleb Williams, Rome Odunze, Colston Loveland, D'Andre Swift, Bo Nix, Courtland Sutton, Jaylen Waddle, Saquon Barkley and DeVonta Smith off the board, and those four rosters are the ones freshly cut loose in most leagues at this stage. Five offenses are implied for 17.5 points or fewer: Arizona at 15 with Carson Beck making his first start, the Chargers at 17, Las Vegas at 17 with a first start of its own, Miami at 17.5 with Kyle McCord and Cleveland at 17.5 with a concussed quarterback. Nothing in those five games has a floor worth trusting in a format where the lowest score goes home, which is why the Raiders appear four times on the sell side here. The floors worth owning are built on volume rather than scoring: Jahmyr Gibbs at 22.1 carries, CeeDee Lamb at 12.0 targets, Brock Bowers at 10.0 and Trey McBride at 10.4 all clear the lower guillotine lines without needing the end zone. Do not treat kicker and defense as the slots to save money in this week. The kicker pool has almost no sub five projection in it and only two defenses have a pressure edge worth paying for.

Guillotine FAAB

Week 10 is the point of the season where hoarding stops paying. If you are still carrying more than half your budget with four or five eliminations left, you are holding currency you will not get to spend. The right posture now is to bid 20 to 25 percent on a back who has just inherited a full workload and to stop nickel bidding on bench receivers you will never start.

The roster chopped this week is whichever scored lowest, and the players worth a real bid off it are the ones whose usage was never the problem: a lead back at 15 or more carries, a receiver above a 20 percent target share, and a tight end who was his team's second option. Skip the kickers and defenses from a chopped roster entirely. Those are replaceable from free agency in any week, and the only reason to pay for one is a bye, which is not a guillotine concern.

The two bids that should cost the most are both backfields opened by injury rather than by performance. Kaleb Johnson in Green Bay is the clearest: Josh Jacobs had surgery on a fractured finger and is expected to miss up to three weeks, and Johnson took 14 carries for 68 yards and a touchdown in Week 9. Corey Kiner in New England is the same shape, with Rhamondre Stevenson doubtful on a knee tendon injury and TreVeyon Henderson out indefinitely, which leaves Kiner first in line after eight carries for 55 yards and a score at Lambeau.

Below those, Audric Estime has 15 carries for 72 yards and a touchdown with Travis Etienne on injured reserve and Alvin Kamara down to 6.7 carries a game, and Zach Charbonnet took 16 carries in Week 9 with Emanuel Wilson not having played since Week 7, into a Las Vegas defense allowing 5.00 yards a carry. Dylan Sampson is the cheap one at six, seven and six targets in the last three weeks and a 21 percent share in Week 9, which is a receiving back's profile and a real PPR floor. Nick Westbrook-Ikhine is a one dollar flyer in a Colts receiver room that has nobody else left in it.

How calls are graded

Every call is locked at its player's kickoff and graded on full-PPR points from the official box score: a point per reception, a tenth of a point per rushing or receiving yard, one per 25 passing yards, six per rushing or receiving touchdown, four per passing touchdown, minus two per interception or lost fumble. Two-point conversions and return touchdowns aren't counted.

Kickers: three per field goal, one more from 40 to 49 yards and two more from 50 or longer, one per extra point, minus one per miss. Defenses: one per sack, two per interception or fumble recovery, six per defensive or return touchdown, two per safety, plus points allowed (the opponent's final score): shutout 10, 1 to 6 is 7, 7 to 13 is 4, 14 to 20 is 1, 21 to 27 is 0, 28 to 34 is minus 1, 35 or more is minus 4.

A start cashes if the player reaches the line for his position; a sit cashes if he stays under it. PPR lines: QB 18, RB 14, WR 14, TE 10, K 8, DEF 8. Guillotine lines are survival floors: QB 15, RB 10, WR 10, TE 7, K 7, DEF 6.

Other weeks: Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2