Fantasy football · Week 7
Start 'em, sit 'em: Week 7, 2026
Full-PPR and guillotine calls every week of the season: first calls Wednesday morning, updated each morning through Sunday, and graded against what actually happened.
Raiders · Waivers · QB · RB · WR · TE · K · DEF · Flex · Guillotine · FAAB
Week 7 loses Buffalo, the Chargers, Washington and Jacksonville to byes and loses Jalen Hurts for the season, after new imaging found blood clots in his lungs and put him on injured reserve, so Tanner McKee runs Philadelphia on Monday night with Saquon Barkley still out on a hamstring. The money is in vacated work. Davante Adams is on injured reserve for six to ten weeks and his 49 targets go to Puka Nacua, Kyle Monangai is week to week with a toe and hands D'Andre Swift 60 carries, Breece Hall has not practised since Week 3, Tyler Warren is out with a groin, and San Francisco is down Deebo Samuel and Christian Kirk with Mike Evans not practising on a sore Achilles. Green Bay at Detroit is the only total above 52, and Detroit concedes 27.0 points a game to quarterbacks and 31.9 to tight ends, both the most in the league. At the other end Cleveland at Tennessee is a 37.5 total and Minnesota allows 8.4 to quarterbacks and 14.3 to backs, the stingiest pair on the board. Buy the touch counts that just moved and leave the 37 point games alone.
Raiders
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Kirk Cousins
PPRStartGuillotineStartCousins has thrown 14 touchdowns in six games, 2.33 a game, which is the best rate of any quarterback on this card, and he has cleared 18 points in four of six. The Rams have eight sacks all season, tied for the fewest, so he gets a clean pocket indoors, and Bowers and Mayer are the red zone source at 78 combined targets. Projecting 270 yards and two and a quarter scores.
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Matt Gay
PPRStartGuillotineStartGay is 14 of 15 on field goals and 14 of 14 on extra points at 2.50 attempts a game, and Las Vegas has an even 14 and 14 split, which is the signature of drives that reach range and stop. The Rams concede 8.0 to tight ends and 26.3 to receivers, both bottom four, so the red zone closes. Indoors with Las Vegas implied for 22, projecting two and a half field goals and two extra points.
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Brock Bowers
PPRStartGuillotineStartThe Rams have conceded 8.0 points a game to tight ends, second fewest in the league, and that is the entire case against him. Bowers has 44 targets in four games, 11 a game and a 20.8 percent share, and seven and a half catches for 80 yards is 15.5 points with no score. Las Vegas is implied for 22 indoors and he has scored in three of his four games.
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Jalen Nailor
PPRSitGuillotineSitNailor has 15 targets in four games and three points a game, and his best week was five targets for six points. The Rams allow 26.3 a game to receivers, fourth fewest in the league. Two catches for 25 yards is under five points against lines of 14 and 10 whatever the depth chart says about who lines up first.
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Tre Tucker
SplitPPRSitGuillotineStartTucker has not reached 14 points in a game without a touchdown; his four scoreless games produced 8.4, 8.3, 4.7 and 8.1. He holds a steady 16.5 percent share at 35 targets, and five catches for 70 yards is 12 points, which lands between the guillotine line of 10 and the full point line of 14. Los Angeles concedes 26.3 a game to receivers, fourth fewest.
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Michael Mayer
SplitPPRSitGuillotineStartLos Angeles has allowed 48 points to tight ends in six games, 8.0 a game and second fewest in the league, and Mayer is the second tight end behind Bowers at 11 targets a game. Four catches for 40 yards is nine points, which sits between the two lines of 10 and 7, so the floor holds but the ceiling does not. His own share is a steady 16.0 percent.
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Ashton Jeanty
SplitPPRSitGuillotineStartJeanty's carries have fallen from 23 and 21 in Weeks 1 and 2 to 10 in each of the last two, and Mike Washington took six second half touches in Week 6 to Jeanty's two. The receiving work is intact at 36 targets, a 17 percent share, so 10 carries and five catches projects 13 points, above the guillotine line of 10 and below the full point line of 14. Last week was a Buffalo front conceding 26.9 a game to backs; the Rams concede 19.6.
Waiver wire
1. Mike Washington Jr., LV, RB. Stash, 4 to 8 percent. Raiders first and the answer has changed since last week. Washington took six second half touches in Week 6 against Ashton Jeanty's two, and Jeanty's carries have gone from 23 and 21 in the first fortnight to 10 in each of the last two. Washington has 34 carries and a 5.9 yard average in his best game. He is a handcuff now and a starter if the split keeps moving.
2. Tyler Higbee, LAR, TE. Start-ready, 10 to 16 percent. Davante Adams is on injured reserve for six to ten weeks, which frees 49 targets and a 20 percent share in an offense implied for 26.5 indoors. Higbee has 29 targets in five games including an 11 target game in Week 3. Tight end is the position where a bad matchup costs you the start this week, and he has a good one.
3. Mike Gesicki, CIN, TE. Start-ready, 8 to 14 percent. Seventeen targets in four games at 13.0 points a game, the seventh best mark at the position, with Tanner Hudson on injured reserve. Cincinnati at Baltimore carries a 51.5 total, the second highest of the week, and Baltimore allows 10.1 a game to tight ends, which is the cap on the number.
4. Jaylin Noel, HOU, WR. Start-ready, 6 to 12 percent. Twenty one points last week on four targets and 10.8 a game on the season, third in the Houston order behind Nico Collins and Xavier Hutchinson. Houston is implied for 26.25 in a dome as a 10 point favourite, and C.J. Stroud has nine touchdowns against one interception.
5. Roschon Johnson, CHI, RB. Stash, 5 to 9 percent. Kyle Monangai is week to week with a toe and did not practise Monday, and Johnson took 13 carries and two targets for 14 points in Week 6. He has 10 targets on the season, so the passing down work is real. D'Andre Swift is the primary, which caps him, but Chicago is implied for 26.75 as a favourite.
6. Kalif Raymond, CHI, WR. Stash, 3 to 6 percent. Twenty nine targets and a 14.9 percent share, with 26 catches in six games and two double digit weeks. Chicago is implied for 26.75 in a 50.5 total on Thursday night, which is the earliest decision of the week. He is a floor add rather than a ceiling add.
7. Tyrone Tracy Jr., NYG, RB. Stash, 3 to 6 percent. Eighteen points in Week 6 on six carries and three targets. Cam Skattebo still has 81 carries and the job, and the Giants are implied for 16.25, the lowest team total of the week, so this is a bet on the role changing rather than a Week 7 start.
8. Tommy Tremble, CAR, TE. Stash, 1 to 3 percent. Twenty one points on four targets in Week 6 and 19 targets in five games, ahead of Darren Waller's two targets in the same game. Carolina is implied for 24 as a favourite. Deep league only, and only if your tight end is on bye.
Quarterbacks
Start 'em
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Jordan Love
PPRStartGuillotineStartDetroit has conceded 27.0 points a game to quarterbacks, the most in the league by almost five, and this is the only game on the board carrying a total above 52. Love is at 281 yards and 1.83 passing scores a game with 57 targets to Matthew Golden and 48 to Christian Watson, and the touchdowns come from that pair indoors. Projecting 300 yards and two and a half scores without a yard of scrambling.
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C.J. Stroud
PPRStartGuillotineStartHouston is implied for 26.25 indoors against a Giants defense allowing 19.7 a game to quarterbacks and carrying eight sacks all season, tied for the fewest in the league. Stroud is at 286 yards a game with nine touchdowns against one interception, and the scores come from Nico Collins at 30 targets in four games and Dalton Schultz inside the 20. Projecting 300 yards and two and a quarter touchdowns on the pass alone.
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Joe Burrow
PPRStartGuillotineStartThe 51.5 total in Baltimore is the second highest of the week and Burrow is throwing 2.20 touchdowns a game on 272 passing yards. Tee Higgins at 43 targets and Ja'Marr Chase at 38 in five games are the scoring source, and Baltimore has 15 sacks but gives up 33.5 a game to receivers. Projecting 285 yards and two and a half scores with no rushing credit.
Sit 'em
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Bo Nix
PPRSitGuillotineSitNix is averaging 175 passing yards and exactly one touchdown a game, and he has cleared 18 points once in six starts. Denver runs through J.K. Dobbins at 81 carries and RJ Harvey at 26 targets, so the pass volume is 189 attempts in six games. Projecting 185 yards and one score for roughly 10 points against lines of 18 and 15.
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Jacoby Brissett
PPRSitGuillotineSitBrissett is at 221 yards a game with nine touchdowns and six interceptions, and Denver has 18 sacks and 17 takeaways in six games, the second most on the slate. Arizona is implied for 19.5 and Denver allows 14.6 a game to quarterbacks. Projecting 210 yards, one and a third scores and an interception, which is under 12 against lines of 18 and 15.
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Patrick Mahomes
PPRSitGuillotineSitSeattle allows 10.8 a game to quarterbacks, second fewest in the league, with 16 sacks and 16 takeaways, and Kansas City is implied for just 20. Rashee Rice was inactive in Week 6 with a hamstring, leaving Xavier Worthy at 29 targets inside a passing game that has thrown the fewest total targets on the slate at 147. Projecting 230 yards and one and a half scores, under 14.
Running backs
Start 'em
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D'Andre Swift
PPRStartGuillotineStartKyle Monangai is week to week with a toe injury and did not practise on Monday, which hands Swift the 60 carries Monangai has taken off him this season. Swift already has 94 carries and 22 targets, Chicago is implied for 26.75 in a 50.5 total and New England allows 20.0 a game to backs. Twenty two carries and four catches is 17 points before any touchdown.
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Christian McCaffrey
PPRStartGuillotineStartDeebo Samuel is out, Christian Kirk is on injured reserve and Mike Evans has not practised on a sore Achilles, which is why McCaffrey took 10 targets and 16 carries for 31 points last week. His 35 targets are a 21 percent share of the San Francisco passing game and Atlanta concedes 22.3 a game to backs. Sixteen carries and seven catches is 19 points with no score.
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Jaylen Warren
PPRStartGuillotineStartNew Orleans allows 29.7 points a game to running backs, 2.8 more than any other defense, and the Paris forecast is 45 percent rain with sideline wind, which points at carries rather than throws. Warren has 84 carries and 30 targets and Pittsburgh is a 3.5 point favourite implied for 24. Last week was a Tampa front conceding 17.0 a game, the opposite end of the table. Seventeen carries and four catches is 16 points.
Sit 'em
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Tony Pollard
PPRSitGuillotineSitCleveland allows 16.2 a game to backs, second fewest in the league, with 19 sacks and 12 takeaways, and this 37.5 total is the lowest game of the week with Tennessee implied for 18. Pollard has 13 targets in six games, so there is no receiving floor, and he has never reached 14 points without a touchdown. Projecting 17 carries for 64 yards and one catch.
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Cam Skattebo
PPRSitGuillotineSitThe Giants are implied for 16.25, the lowest team total on the board, against a Houston defense with 18 sacks that concedes 18.9 a game to backs. Skattebo has not cleared 14 points in five games and has 12 targets all season. Fifteen carries for 58 yards and two catches is a shade over nine points.
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Alvin Kamara
PPRSitGuillotineSitKendre Miller took 20 carries in Week 6 to Kamara's seven, and Kamara is down to 35 carries in five games. Strip the two short touchdowns out of last week and the line is seven carries for 23 yards and two catches. New Orleans is implied for 20.5 in Paris rain against a Pittsburgh front with 16 sacks. Projecting under 10 against lines of 14 and 10.
Wide receivers
Start 'em
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Puka Nacua
PPRStartGuillotineStartDavante Adams is on injured reserve for six to ten weeks and his 49 targets, a 20 percent share, come off the board. Nacua already holds 52 targets in four games, 13 a game, and the Rams are implied for 26.5 indoors against a Raiders defense allowing 20.5 a game to quarterbacks. Eleven catches for 110 yards is 22 points before a touchdown.
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Matthew Golden
PPRStartGuillotineStartGolden has 57 targets, a 25.8 percent share, and 13 of them came last week. Detroit concedes 40.4 a game to receivers and 27.0 to quarterbacks, both in the top three, and this 53.5 total is the highest of the week in a dome. Eight catches for 95 yards is 17.5 points with no score required.
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Tetairoa McMillan
PPRStartGuillotineStartMcMillan carries 48 targets in five games, a 26.4 percent share, and Carolina is implied for 24 as a 3.5 point favourite. Tampa Bay has 11 sacks all season, so Bryce Young gets time, and the Buccaneers allow 31.9 a game to receivers. Seven and a half catches for 95 yards is 17 points without a touchdown.
Sit 'em
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Michael Wilson
PPRSitGuillotineSitWilson's targets fell from 17 and 13 in Weeks 3 and 4 to seven in each of the last two, and both of those games returned exactly seven points. Denver has 18 sacks and 17 takeaways and allows 28.5 a game to receivers, and Arizona is implied for 19.5. Four and a half catches for 50 yards is 9.5 points against lines of 14 and 10.
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Denzel Boston
PPRSitGuillotineSitCleveland is implied for 19.5 in a 37.5 total, the lowest game on the board, and Deshaun Watson is at 14.4 points a game with 45 carries of his own. Boston drew five targets for two points last week on a 19.8 percent share. Four catches for 50 yards is nine points against lines of 14 and 10.
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Devaughn Vele
PPRSitGuillotineSitVele has gone six targets for seven points in each of the last two weeks and his share has slipped to 19.1 percent behind Chris Olave's 27.1. Pittsburgh allows 28.6 a game to receivers, sixth fewest, with 16 sacks, and the Paris forecast of 45 percent rain and sideline wind cuts the deep throws that carry him. Four catches for 45 yards is 8.5 points.
Tight ends
Start 'em
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Trey McBride
PPRStartGuillotineStartMcBride has 65 targets in six games, a 28.5 percent share and the heaviest tight end workload in football, and he has not been under nine targets in any week. Denver allows 13.1 a game to the position, which is middle of the table rather than a wall. Eight catches for 75 yards is 15.5 points against lines of 10 and 7.
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Brock Bowers
PPRStartGuillotineStartThe Rams have conceded 8.0 points a game to tight ends, second fewest in the league, and that is the entire case against him. Bowers has 44 targets in four games, 11 a game and a 20.8 percent share, and seven and a half catches for 80 yards is 15.5 points with no score. Las Vegas is implied for 22 indoors and he has scored in three of his four games.
Sit 'em
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Harold Fannin Jr.
PPRSitGuillotineSitFannin's targets have fallen to four and then three in the last two weeks, returning one point and two points, after a nine target game in Week 3. Cleveland is implied for 19.5 in the lowest total of the week at 37.5. Three catches for 30 yards is six points against lines of 10 and 7.
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Michael Mayer
SplitPPRSitGuillotineStartLos Angeles has allowed 48 points to tight ends in six games, 8.0 a game and second fewest in the league, and Mayer is the second tight end behind Bowers at 11 targets a game. Four catches for 40 yards is nine points, which sits between the two lines of 10 and 7, so the floor holds but the ceiling does not. His own share is a steady 16.0 percent.
Kickers
Start 'em
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Spencer Shrader
PPRStartGuillotineStartShrader is 18 for 18 on three attempts a game, tied for the most volume on the slate, and Indianapolis has 18 made field goals against 12 extra points, so the drives stall rather than finish. Minnesota allows 8.4 a game to quarterbacks and 14.3 to backs, the stingiest pair in the league, and Indianapolis is implied for only 17.5 indoors. Two and a half field goals and one extra point is nine points.
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Matt Gay
PPRStartGuillotineStartGay is 14 of 15 on field goals and 14 of 14 on extra points at 2.50 attempts a game, and Las Vegas has an even 14 and 14 split, which is the signature of drives that reach range and stop. The Rams concede 8.0 to tight ends and 26.3 to receivers, both bottom four, so the red zone closes. Indoors with Las Vegas implied for 22, projecting two and a half field goals and two extra points.
Sit 'em
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Eddy Pineiro
PPRSitGuillotineSitSan Francisco has attempted 22 extra points against nine field goals, the most touchdown heavy split in the league, and Pineiro is on 1.50 attempts a game. He is also 6 of 9 on the year, so three misses have already cost three points. Even with the 49ers implied for 26.75 indoors, one made field goal and three extra points is under six against lines of 8 and 7.
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Cairo Santos
PPRSitGuillotineSitChicago has 18 extra points against 11 field goal attempts, so the volume is in the end zone rather than at 40 yards, and Santos is 8 of 11 with three misses. At 1.83 attempts a game his made total is about 1.3, which with three extra points is 6.5 points. New England allows 18.8 points a game, the sixth fewest, so the scoring drives are capped.
Defenses
Start 'em
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Vikings D/ST
PPRStartGuillotineStartMinnesota has 17 sacks and 12 takeaways while allowing 12.8 points a game, the best mark in the league, against an Indianapolis line conceding 2.5 sacks and 2.17 turnovers a game. Indianapolis is implied for 17.5 indoors with Tyler Warren out, which puts points allowed in the four point band. Projecting 2.8 sacks and two takeaways for roughly 11, and no defensive score is needed because those are not forecastable.
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Jets D/ST
PPRStartGuillotineStartMiami's line has conceded 2.8 sacks a game and the Jets have 17 sacks and 13 fumble recoveries, the most recoveries in the league, which is the specific pressure edge here. Miami is implied for 17 with Malik Willis at 11.7 points a game. Three sacks and two takeaways with a 14 to 20 points allowed band is eight, and that is before any return score, which cannot be projected.
Sit 'em
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Rams D/ST
PPRSitGuillotineSitLos Angeles has eight sacks in six games, tied for the fewest in the league, against a Raiders line conceding 1.33 a game, fifth fewest in the league, so there is no pressure edge to buy. Las Vegas is implied for 22, which is the zero point band for points allowed. One sack and one and a half takeaways is four points, and a defense that needs a return touchdown to reach eight is a coin flip.
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Ravens D/ST
PPRSitGuillotineSitThis 51.5 total is the second highest of the week and Cincinnati is implied for 24.25, which is the zero point band. Cincinnati's line gives up 1.8 sacks a game and Baltimore has 15 sacks and seven takeaways in six games, so there is no sack rate edge against this front. Two sacks and one takeaway is under five against lines of 8 and 6, and defensive scores cannot be forecast.
Flex
Running backs, receivers and tight ends for the flex spot, beyond the calls above.
Start 'em
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Isaiah Likely
PPRStartGuillotineStartLikely has 59 targets in six games, a 28.6 percent share, with 13 and 11 in the last two weeks, and that role has not changed. Houston allows 10.5 a game to tight ends and the Giants are implied for 16.25, which is the argument for a lower number, but seven catches for 70 yards is still 14 points against lines of 10 and 7. The volume is the call, not the environment.
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George Kittle
PPRStartGuillotineStartDeebo Samuel is out, Christian Kirk is on injured reserve and Mike Evans did not practise on a sore Achilles, which leaves Kittle and McCaffrey as the only settled targets in a 50.5 total indoors. Kittle has 36 targets, a 21.7 percent share, and eight of them came last week. Six and a half catches for 80 yards is 14.5 points against lines of 10 and 7.
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Tucker Kraft
PPRStartGuillotineStartDetroit has conceded 31.9 points a game to tight ends, the most in the league by 10.4, and this is the highest total of the week at 53.5 in a dome. Kraft has 37 targets, a 16.7 percent share, and eight of them came last week. Six catches for 70 yards is 13 points against lines of 10 and 7, with no touchdown in the number.
Sit 'em
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Chris Godwin Jr.
PPRSitGuillotineSitGodwin has no touchdowns in six games and has not reached 10 points in any of them, on a 15.4 percent target share behind Emeka Egbuka's 26.1. Tampa Bay is implied for 20.5 with Jalon Daniels at 8.8 points a game, and Carolina allows 28.8 a game to receivers, fifth fewest. Four catches for 40 yards is eight points against lines of 14 and 10.
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Rhamondre Stevenson
PPRSitGuillotineSitTreVeyon Henderson is back from the high ankle sprain and took seven carries last week, and Stevenson returned four points on 14 carries in the same game. He has 19 targets in six games, so there is no receiving floor, and Chicago allows 17.0 a game to backs with 17 sacks and 12 takeaways. Fourteen carries for 55 yards and two catches is under 10 against lines of 14 and 10.
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Woody Marks
SplitPPRSitGuillotineStartDavid Montgomery did not practise in Week 6 with a groin and is still on the report, which keeps Marks at the 15 carries he took in each of the last two weeks. That plus 16 targets in six games projects 17 carries and three catches for 12.5 points, above the guillotine line of 10 and below the full point line of 14. The Giants concede 18.9 a game to backs, so the volume is there and the yardage is not.
Guillotine survival
Four byes thin the board again. Josh Allen, Jayden Daniels and Trevor Lawrence are three of the top nine quarterbacks by points a game and none of them plays, and James Cook, Bhayshul Tuten, Omarion Hampton, Parker Washington, Stefon Diggs, Brenton Strange, Tyler Bass and Cam Little go with them. Survival this week means avoiding the two cheapest environments on the slate: Cleveland at Tennessee at 37.5 and Miami at the Jets at 38.5, where every one of the four teams is implied under 21. Quarterback is where the byes bite hardest, because three of the better streaming answers are sitting out, and tight end is where the matchup swing is widest, from Detroit's 31.9 allowed a game to the Rams' 8.0. Rosters chopped in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 have put lead backs and 20 percent target shares into most waiver pools, so the replacement that saves your week is probably still in the pool rather than on a roster you have to trade for. The question is never who wins the week. It is who cannot hand you a four.
Guillotine FAAB
Budget. You are a third of the way in and the pool is as deep as it will get, because the rosters chopped in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 are all sitting in it. From here it thins every week. Spend 20 to 30 percent of what is left on anyone who starts for you every week, and carry no more than one stash through a four bye slate.
What is worth a real bid off a chopped roster. A tight end with a 20 percent target share, because the position swings from 31.9 points allowed a game in Detroit to 8.0 in Los Angeles and a bad matchup costs you the start. A back who just inherited both the carries and the third down work, not merely the carries. A receiver who is first or second in his team's target order on an offense implied for 24 or more. What is not worth a bid: a backup behind a healthy starter, a receiver whose only good week was a touchdown on two catches, and any kicker attempting fewer than two field goals a game, which this week is Eddy Pineiro at 1.50 and Cairo Santos at 1.83.
Named targets. Mike Washington Jr. in Las Vegas is the Raiders add: six second half touches in Week 6 against Ashton Jeanty's two, on a 34 carry season. Tyler Higbee in Los Angeles is the direct beneficiary of the Adams injury, with 29 targets in five games and the Rams implied for 26.5 indoors. Mike Gesicki in Cincinnati has 17 targets in four games at 13.0 points a game with Tanner Hudson on injured reserve, inside the week's second highest total. Jaylin Noel in Houston put up 21 points last week and is at 10.8 a game with Houston implied for 26.25 in a dome.
Deeper. Roschon Johnson in Chicago took 13 carries for 14 points with Monangai out. Tyrone Tracy Jr. in New York went for 18 points on six carries and three targets, though Cam Skattebo still has the job. Kalif Raymond in Chicago holds a 14.9 percent target share in a 50.5 total on Thursday. Cody White in Las Vegas is not worth a bid: 16 targets in six games, nothing last week, and fifth on the unofficial depth chart.
How calls are graded
Every call is locked at its player's kickoff and graded on full-PPR points from the official box score: a point per reception, a tenth of a point per rushing or receiving yard, one per 25 passing yards, six per rushing or receiving touchdown, four per passing touchdown, minus two per interception or lost fumble. Two-point conversions and return touchdowns aren't counted.
Kickers: three per field goal, one more from 40 to 49 yards and two more from 50 or longer, one per extra point, minus one per miss. Defenses: one per sack, two per interception or fumble recovery, six per defensive or return touchdown, two per safety, plus points allowed (the opponent's final score): shutout 10, 1 to 6 is 7, 7 to 13 is 4, 14 to 20 is 1, 21 to 27 is 0, 28 to 34 is minus 1, 35 or more is minus 4.
A start cashes if the player reaches the line for his position; a sit cashes if he stays under it. PPR lines: QB 18, RB 14, WR 14, TE 10, K 8, DEF 8. Guillotine lines are survival floors: QB 15, RB 10, WR 10, TE 7, K 7, DEF 6.
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